Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.236717 0.277588 0.326021 0.388383 0.467640 0.566526 0.701718
2024-12-29 0.178831 0.229428 0.297398 0.398482 0.550802 0.782467 1.185532
2025-01-05 0.140400 0.191147 0.265391 0.387913 0.598537 0.976909 1.802279
2025-01-12 0.119256 0.170138 0.249876 0.393525 0.671237 1.256517 2.882085
2025-01-19 0.102626 0.151633 0.232562 0.388825 0.721836 1.530503 4.383393
2025-01-26 0.092275 0.140755 0.224786 0.398129 0.805172 1.954235 7.351092
2025-02-02 0.084891 0.133298 0.221028 0.413727 0.911888 2.561891 13.563574
2025-02-09 0.078287 0.125981 0.215795 0.424299 1.013095 3.295985 26.204971
2025-02-16 0.073032 0.120216 0.212301 0.437707 1.132705 4.321577 59.092354
2025-02-23 0.068072 0.114238 0.207157 0.445493 1.241975 5.556806 153.000653
2025-03-02 0.063481 0.108327 0.201050 0.448988 1.341328 7.039754 511.285568
2025-03-09 0.059116 0.102304 0.193659 0.446871 1.420375 8.694957 2718.161621
2025-03-16 0.054644 0.095662 0.184077 0.436637 1.464495 10.341467 52289.394740
2025-03-23 0.052113 0.092727 0.182649 0.450954 1.639653 14.618567 NaN
2025-03-30 0.048447 0.087016 0.173749 0.439271 1.677919 17.470302 NaN
2025-04-06 0.046111 0.083892 0.170693 0.446139 1.829978 24.319066 NaN
2025-04-13 0.043436 0.079758 0.164515 0.440665 1.908034 31.083982 NaN
2025-04-20 0.041733 0.077591 0.163036 0.451683 2.111851 47.465148 NaN
2025-04-27 0.040453 0.076228 0.163450 0.470156 2.402549 83.264448 NaN
2025-05-04 0.039034 0.074404 0.162356 0.482697 2.675711 148.807297 NaN
2025-05-11 0.037823 0.072941 0.162042 0.498625 3.018503 315.355714 NaN
2025-05-18 0.036481 0.071045 0.160241 0.507887 3.326153 715.392096 NaN
2025-05-25 0.035088 0.068903 0.157448 0.512048 3.599418 1835.438424 NaN